Doubling Farmer Incomes by 2022
and India’s Agriculture Scenario

India has a high degree of sensitivity to climate change, which is compounded in areas of extreme poverty and high dependency on agriculture (Maple croft, 2010). 58 % of our population is dependent on agriculture and 85% of the total farmers are small and marginal farmers.

The Government of India made a budget announcement this year (2016) that it is setting itself the target of doubling incomes of farmers by 2022. This article throws light on the government’s strategy for achieving this ambitious target and experiences from the ground.

Small farmers in India face double risk: production risk and market risk. They face production risks due to constraints on natural resource availability - water, land and soil conditions. The production risk is further aggravated with the changing climate and frequent weather aberrations that result in crop failures or reduced crop production. Eleven states declared drought between August 2015 and April 2016 (Sen & Bera, 2016). It is further expected that regional water availability for food production shall reduce due to rising temperatures, changing precipitation patterns and increasing frequency of extreme weather events (Ranuzzi, 2012).

The market risk that farmers face is reflected in the price fluctuations in the market and no assured buyers for the produce. Constraints of small quantity of raw produce further adds to the reduced returns for farmers from agriculture. Economic contribution from agriculture has shown a declining trend. The rate of growth of the agriculture sector has declined sharply from 4.2 per cent in 2013-14 to -0.2 per cent in 2014-15 (CBGA, 2016).

Conditions of farmers have been worsening over time with limited resource availability, higher vulnerabilities to climate and market and low output price. The number of farmer suicides nationwide rose to an average of 52 a day in 2015 (Sharma, 2016). The economic situation of small farmers in India ranges from a monthly debt of INR -1500 to savings upto INR 469. This highlights the economic crisis faced by small and marginal farmers across India.

NITI Aayog’s Task Force on Agricultural Development has highlighted five priority areas of work in the agriculture sector (NITI Aayog, 2015):

Important steps need to be taken to raise agricultural productivity. It points out the need for quality and judicious use of inputs, irrigation potential, modern technology use (like genetically modified seeds) and shift to high value commodities.

It needs to be ensured that farmers receive remunerative prices for their crops. Currently, MSP applies to only a few crops such as rice, wheat and cotton and is only available in areas where procurement is done.

Land leasing laws have to be revised to encourage formal leasing contracts between the owner and the tenant. This shall help in the identification of actual cultivators in the records.

Effective crop insurance schemes are required to reduce farmers’ hardships from natural disasters such as droughts, floods, cyclones, storms, landslides, hails and earthquakes.

India needs to focus on agriculture in the eastern states also.

The priorities put forth by the report need to be read in light of certain facts of the agriculture sector. A small farmer’s choice of crop for cultivation, choice of agriculture practice and marketing choice is dictated by his aim for higher income generation. Higher income in the long run will require the farmer to maintain health of its natural systems comprising of water, land and soil resources. It also needs to be noted that natural resource management of the entire area may not be in the hands of one individual farmer alone. Ground water exploitation or over use of water resources by one farmer may result in lower water tables for all the other farmers in the area. Another critical point to note is also that 60% of India’s land under cultivation is rain-fed and more than 30% lies in the resource scarce semi-arid regions of the country. This means that natural resources are scarce and thus generate regular challenge for agriculture practice in this region.

In light of these facts, some suggested policy considerations for doubling farmer incomes and the priority setting exercise by NITI’s task force are as follows:

Increasing agricultural productivity using quality and judicious inputs, modern technology etc. have to be proceeded with some caveats. While increasing agricultural productivity should be the focus, there is also a strong need to develop climate resilience. The choice of crops have to be made keeping in mind the soil quality, water availability and weather suitability of the region. Another factor that should be taken into account should be the cost of cultivation. Crop production in India is dominated by cultivation of paddy in Kharif and wheat in the Rabi seasons. These two crops cover about 38% of gross cropped area in the country. Rice and wheat have not been traditional crops in most of the areas and it is important in this regard that other crops like millets and pulses which are more adaptable to the natural resources and climatic conditions of the region are given more focus (NITI Aayog, 2015).

Use of modern technology for increasing agriculture productivity will have to be cost effective for small farmers in India. Therefore, technologies like genetically modified seeds have to be researched on properly - not just for scientific prudence but also for their social consequences. Seeds are the basis of agriculture and the basis of farmers’ livelihoods. Since Monsanto’s entry into India in 1998, the price of cotton seeds has increased by almost 80,000% (from INR 5 – INR 9/KG to INR 1600 for 450 gms). The IPR, technology fees and patents on the seeds further restricts access and availability of fairly priced seeds to the farmers. (Shiva, 2016) There is a need for promoting technology that ensures higher productivity, while ensuring cost effectiveness for small farmers.

Ensured remunerative prices for food produce to farmers is important but government procures only few crops and from few farmers. While the government currently announces MSP for 23 crops, procurement is effective mainly for wheat, rice and cotton and even for these crops, it is restricted to a subset of farmers in a few states (NITI Aayog, 2015). It is therefore important to revise MSPs in accordance to the traditional crops of the state and ensure just MSPs for those crops. Additionally, there is a need to enable farmers to reach markets effectively with adequate value addition and marketing facilities for ensuring decent prices for their produce and not remain dependent only on government procurement. Adequate policy mechanisms that ensure skill and capacity development of small farmers to reach markets and ensure decent and stable prices for their produce needs to be of high priority in the government agriculture agenda.

Effective crop insurance schemes are necessary but remain a curative exercise. What is additionally required are systems and capacities for communities to be informed of the vulnerabilities in agriculture and ways to adapt to the vagaries of climate change. This needs investments in effective and timely information systems, planning and decision making support to farmers in order to ensure adequacy in preventive action for crop failure. q

Anshul Bhamra
abhamra@devalt.org

Bibliography

CBGA. (2016). Connecting the Dots- An analysis of Union Budget 2016-17. Delhi: CBGA.

Maplecroft. (2010). Climate change risk report.

NITI Aayog. (2015). Raising Agricultural Productivity and Making Farming remunerative for Farming. Government of India.

Ranuzzi, A. S. (2012). Impact of Climate Change on agriculture and food security. ICRIER.

Sen, S., & Bera, S. (2016, May 12). Frame national drought policy: Supreme Court. Live mint.

Shiva, V. (2016, March 27). Monsanto versus Indian Farmers. Retrieved May 19, 2016, from vandanashiva: http://vandanashiva.com/?p=402

 

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