The Next 600 Million
Trending Urban
H alf
the world now lives in cities and urban areas. Cities occupy just 2% of
the Earth’s land, but concentrate 80% of all economic output; account
for 60-80% of energy consumption; 75% of carbon emissions and over 75%
of the world’s natural resources1.
India has seen a decadal growth
of 3.35 in the urban population since 2001, with 31% of the total
population (370 million) now living in towns and cities. Much of
urbanisation is concentrated in small cities and towns, and the number
of towns increased from 2,774 in 2001 to 7,935 in 2011 2.
Given the trend, by 2030, 600 million strong urban populations is
expected to inhabit 68 cities with a population of more than 1 million,
13 cities with more than 4 million people and six megacities with
populations of 10 million or more, with Mumbai and Delhi among the
world’s largest cities in the world. The populations of Gujarat,
Karnataka, Maharashtra, Punjab and Tamil Nadu will be predominantly
urban3.
Balancing Needs and Demands
While urban poverty ratio has
declined, urban service deprivation and shelter poverty continue to be
pressing problems for urban India. Poor access to basic services, public
health and other human development inputs perpetuates poverty in urban
India 1.
According to a Ministry of Urban Development (MoUD) study, 23 million
children below the age of 14 are at risk from poor sanitation and 8
million children from poor water supply2
in urban India.
Mckinsey Global Institute
estimates that cities could generate 70% of net new jobs, producing more
than 70% of GDP and drive a fourfold increase in per capita incomes
across the nation by 2030. In order to fuel this growth, the country
will have to build 700-900 million square metres of residential and
commercial space a year to accommodate this growth, requiring an
investment US$1.2 trillion to build 350-400 kilometres of metros and
subway and up to 25,000 kilometres of new roads per year 1.
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A Status Snapshot: Urban
Services in India
•
As of 2001, almost a
quarter of India’s urban population lived in slums.
•
Only 64% of urban
population is covered by individual connections and standposts. Duration
of daily water supply ranges from 1-6 hours.
•
70% of water leakages
are from pipes for consumer connection and malfunctioning of water
meters.
•
4861 out of the 5161
cities/towns do not even have partial sewerage network.
•
About 18% of urban
households do not have access to any form of latrine facility and
defecate in open.
•
Of 79 sewage treatment
plants under state ownership reviewed in 2007, 46 were operating under
very poor conditions
•
Waste collection
coverage ranges from 70% to 90% in major metropolitan cities, and is
less than 50% in smaller cities.
•
Only 20 out of 85
cities with a population of 0.5 million or more in 2009 had a city bus
service.
•
Share of public
transport fleet in India has decreased sharply from 11% in 1951 to 1.1 %
in 2001
Source : NIUA 2011 |
Crunching Resources
Growing global trend towards
urbanisation is accompanied by increased pressure on the environment and
resources. With 70-80% of the global population expected to be urban by
2050, the pressures are only going to escalate.
Cities at different stages of
growth and development have differential
environmental impacts. It has been observed that as cities grow in size
and economy, they concentrate wealth as well as resource consumption and
carbon emissions. Their environmental impacts are also increasingly felt
at global level 2.
One of the largest pressures on
resources and environment comes from constructing infrastructure. The
resource footprint during the siting, construction, operation of
buildings and infrastructure as well as during extraction of building
materials is huge. Globally, buildings are responsible for about 30–40%
of all material flows. In India too, the construction sector alone
accounts for 23.6% of the national greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions 3.
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Towards Sustainable Cities
There are global and national
initiatives that promote the concept of sustainable cities. A few of
them are:
•
ICLEI helps local
governments to build more sustainable cities and communities through
urban development, urban governance, Eco-City and Green City,
eco-budgeting and sustainable procurement.
•
The Cities Alliance is
a global partnership between local and central governments, NGOs and
multilateral organisations for urban poverty reduction and promotion of
the role of cities in sustainable development.
•
UN-HABITAT, works to
promote socially and environmentally sustainable towns and cities with
the goal of providing adequate shelter for all.
•
The Government of
India launched the Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission (JNNURM)
for city modernisation focussing on efficiency in urban infrastructure
and service delivery mechanisms, community participation, and
accountability of ULBs/ Para-statal agencies towards citizens.
•
State Governments in
India are supporting sustainable transport initiatives like the Delhi
Metro, Ahmedabad Bus Rapid Transit System, City Bus services for JNNURM
cities, etc. |
Seeking Opportunities
Sustainable cities as hubs for
ideas, commerce, culture, science, productivity and social development
were identified as critical aspects at Rio+20. There is a need to
overcome the challenges that cities face so that they continue to thrive
and grow, while improving resource use, reducing pollution and poverty.
There are 7000 small and medium
towns on the verge of this transformation. Services like housing energy,
water, sanitation, transport, waste management need to be created.
Infrastructure investments made now, will play a critical role in
determining future resource intensity and affect India’s ability to
decouple resource consumption from economic growth. With India just
starting on urbanisation trajectory, there is an opportunity to avoid
being locked into energy and resource-intensive infrastructure.
Sustain-ability-oriented infrastructures need to be driven by economic
demand for more viable urban infrastructures and ecological demand for
more sustainable use of natural resources. A combination of resource
productivity improvements, increased use of local renewable resources
and ecosystem services, and re-use of waste products can promote
decoupling of resources flowing through cities, and within them 4.
Political will and appropriate policy systems are needed to support this
decoupling.
The magnitude of the challenge
calls for approaches that encourage continuous learning, improvement and
tapping into resources that are available to bring about change 5.
Jane Jacobs recognised cities as the real growth engines and generators
of wealth. Cities are pools of skill and capital and centres of
knowledge and innovation. The recent rise of active civil societies
supported by the power of internet-based communications has resulted in
emergence of energetic society: "a society of articulate citizens,
with an unprecedented reaction speed, learning ability and creativity."
Cities can be energetic societies comprised of potentially articulate
individuals, communities and companies with actual or potential fast
learning curves "...who themselves form a source of energy. It is up
to the government to create right conditions to make this possible..."6.
Involvement of stakeholders both state and non-state to come together to
think, question, design, plan and implement is a critical component of
the movement towards sustainable cities and urbanisation. Youth
especially represent an untapped storehouse of energy.
q
Kriti Nagrath
knagrath@devalt.org
End Notes
1 Kamal-Chaoui, L. and Robert, A. (2009). Competitive cities and climate
change. OECD Regional Development Working Papers 2009/2.OECD, Public
Governance and Territorial Development Directorate.
2 Census of India, 2011
3 Sankhe, S., Vittal, I., Dobbs, R., Mohan, A., Gulati, A., Ablett, J.,
Gupta, S., Kim, A., Paul, S., Sanghvi, A., Sethy, G. (2010) ‘India’s
Urban Awakening: Building Inclusive Cities, Sustaining Economic Growth’.
Mckinsey Global Institute.
4 IFMR, 2011. Summary of Report on Indian Urban Infrastructure and
Services (2011) – Part I
5 National Urban Sanitation Policy: A Perspective. Ministry of Urban
Development, Government of India
6 ibid
7 UNEP, 2011. Cities : Investing in Energy and Resource Efficiency
8 Parikh, K. (2011) ‘Interim Report of the Expert Group on Low Carbon
Strategies for Inclusive Growth’. New Delhi: Planning Commission,
Government of India.
9 UNEP, IRP 2013. City-Level Decoupling Urban resource flows and the
governance of infrastructure transitions
10 Hajer, M. (2011) The energetic society: in search of a governance
philosophy for a clean economy. The Hague: Netherlands Environmental
Assessment Agency, p. 31.
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