Breaking the Climate Change Stalemate: Ushering a New Beginning at Bonn

Kalipada Chatterjee

It was a long march from Rio in 1992 to Bonn in 2001 for the world to reach a consensus and to commit to take a first step together, on the road to action. The first international response to climate change had taken shape with the development of the United Nations Framework Convention Climate Change (UNFCCC).

Adopted in 1992, the UNFCCC set out a framework for action aimed at stabilising atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases at a level that prevent human-induced actions from leading to "dangerous interference" with the climate system. The Convention has since been signed by 186 countries and entered into force on 21st March 1994.

The first conference of the Parties to the Convention (COP 1) was held in Berlin in March - April 1995. During

COP 1, it became very clear to the world community that "Rio is not enough" and pressed for adequacy of commitment by the developed countries for reduction of emissions.

Accordingly, a Protocol to the Climate Change Convention was adopted in Kyoto in 1997 with the objective of bringing down the global GHG emissions by 5.2% in aggregate by the developed countries (Kyoto Protocol).

The Protocol also provided the basis for three flexibility mechanisms to assist developed countries in meeting their national quantified emissions limitation and reduction commitments (QELRC) in a cost effective manner. These mechanisms are:

Ø Joint Implementation (Article 6 of the Protocol)
Ø Clean Development Mechanism (Article 12 of the Protocol)
Ø Emission Trading (Article 17 of the Protocol)

For the Kyoto Protocol to enter into force, the criteria was that 55 parties to the UNFCCC including developed country parties representing at least 55% of the total carbon dioxide emission for 1990 must ratify the protocol. So far, the protocol has been signed by the 84 countries and ratified only 35 countries.

The achievement at Bonn is considered remarkable in view of the political decisions taken by 178 nations at Bonn to proceed with the implementation of the Protocol. It is likely that the protocol will enter into force by 2002 after the above criteria are met, with the sole exception of the United States, who refused to participate in this victory of multilateralism over unilateralism.

The crucial meeting before the historical decision at Bonn was held in the night of Sunday the 22nd of July 2001. The "marathon" meeting concluded with the plenary at 11.55 a.m. on Monday, 23rd July.

Some important issues on which consensus was reached are as follows:

1. Funding
2. Land-use and Land-use Change and Forestry (LULUCF)
3. Mechanisms under the Kyoto Protocol
4. Compliance

Thanking all delegates at the end of the "marathon" session, President Pronk said that such a consensus was necessary not just for the climate but to underline the value of multilateral negotiations within the framework of UN. Iran for the G-77 / China said that this was "honourable deal" that represents a historic achievement and the "triumph of multilateral negotiations over unilateralism".

Japan expressed pleasure in joining the consensus that constitutes a vital step towards realising the entry into force of the Protocol by 2002. The US noted that the COP recognises the segregation between funding under the UNFCCC and the Protocol.

The fact that US did not seek to block consensus did not change her country’s view that the "Protocol is not a sound policy".

Details on Key Issues

1. Funding

Ø Funding under the convention and the Kyoto Protocol
Ø Special Climate Change fund
Ø Least development countries fund
Ø Kyoto Protocol adaptation fund
Ø Development and transfer of technology to developing countries

2. Land-use, Land Cover Change and Forestry (LULUCF)

Ø
Existing carbon stocks (in forests) should be excluded from accounting
Ø The implementation of the LULUCF activities contributes to the conservation of biodiversity and sustainable use of natural resources

It further states that forest management, cropland management grazing land management and re-vegetation are eligible landuse, landuse change and forestry activities under Article 3 of the Protocol.

Additions to and subtraction from the amount of the Party resulting from forest management under Article 3 and Article 6 of the Protocol should not exceed the value agreed upon by each developed countries.

3. Mechanisms

The Conference took positions on several key decisions on the Protocol’s most delicate issue: the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM). Some of them are as follows:

The CoP-6 took a decision to

Ø Facilitate a prompt start for the CDM
Ø Invite nominations for membership in the Executive Board
Ø Authorise signatory Parties to the Kyoto Protocol as eligible for ‘doing’ CDM projects
Ø Formulate simplified modalities and procedures for small scale CDM projects such as ;

Renewable energy project activities with a maximum output capacity equivalent of up to 50 megawatts,

Ø Energy efficiency improvement project activities which reduce energy consumption up to the equivalent of 15 giga watt hours (GWH) per year; alternatively
Ø Other project activities that both reduce anthropogenic emissions by sources and that directly emit less than 15 kilotonnes of the carbon dioxide equivalent annually

Among the other decisions taken, projects starting as of the year 2000 may be eligible for validation and registration as CDM and may obtain certified emissions reductions. In addition, from a CDM project, the share of proceeds for adaptation fund shall be not more than 2% of the total Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) generated from the CDM project. Accepting the strong case of unilateral CDM activities, wherein a developing country Party could apply and win a CDM project, the CoP mentioned that such projects shall be exempted from the share of the proceeds to assist with the cost of adaptation. The Parties also debarred nuclear projects from being included in the ambit of CDM. Finally, carbon sequestration from afforestation and reforestation only will be eligible for CDM.

The US decision not to join the Protocol may have adverse impacts on their business sector. In a recent analysis by WRI, the following aspects have been brought out:

Ø

To ‘clean up’ their homes, US companies have to make rationale decisions on energy related investment that will last 10, 20, 30 or more years. It remains unclear, in the absence of the flexibility mechanisms, how the US businesses will enact policies to reduce greenhouse gases or what those policies will be, so that they may comply with their commitments under the Framework Convention.

Ø

Their ability to purchase carbon credits from other countries. The trading system will be set up under the Protocol for countries that are participating. Non-participation of the US will mean no business for US based emissions trading exchanges.

Ø  The ability to receive credits for investment in measures that reduce emissions in developing countries through the CDM. It seems obvious that these will raise the cost of emission reductions and reduce flexibility for the US as and when they decide to make reductions.

3. Compliance

The compliance text was amended in three key areas:

The enforcement branch of the Climate Change Secretariat would be the body responsible for applying consequences for non-compliance by various Annex I Parties;

The objective behind ensuring Compliance is to ensure "environmental integrity" rather than "repairing the damage" to the environment; and

The stipulation that ‘payments to be made to repair the damage to the environment’ was finally deleted.

Achievement at Bonn in Nutshell

Ø A first step towards building a platform for global
     action to address to climate change

Ø A political consensus to break the stalemate

Ø A funding to the tune of US $ 600 million annually 
     for capacity building and technology transfer to the   
     developing countries

Ø A political decision on the Kyoto Mechanisms

Ø A legally binding compliance regime

Ø Prompt start of CDM particularly from small 
     projects mitigating climate change

Ø Developing countries like India and other developing 
     countries can now look forward for funding towards 
     capacity building, technology transfer and climate 
     change abatement activities

Conclusion
In the light of considerable concessions that were given to many parties in arriving at the consensus and to the historical decisions at Bonn it is apparent that the aggregate reduction of emission under the Kyoto Protocol would be much less than what was originally stipulated in the Protocol (5.2% over the 1990 levels).

It is estimated that only about 2.5% would be the aggregate reductions of greenhouse gas emissions from the 1990 levels under the present consensus reached at Bonn. However this is a first step, in the correct direction, towards fulfilment of the objectives of the Climate Change Convention. q

I Can Save the Earth

I woke up in the morning,
I thought it would be a new beginning.
But when I did peep out of my window,

Shattered was the dream of a better tomorrow.
The sun had an eerie glow,
Draped was the horizon in a smoky robe.
The birds seemed to fly slowly,

The environment was polluted completely.
Withered were the roses and daisies.
Few were the lush, green trees.

The stream was turbid, eroded was the land.
Sounds most disturbing rang like a diabolic band.
Who was it that caused this disaster,
In this heaven like place of the Master,

Which now bared a sad face,
Humans, I realised, are the destructive race.
But I too am a human being.
I am to be blamed too for the animals dying.

I resolved that everyone must,
Do his bit to save the earth’s crust.
Stop the use of polyethylene,
Recycle paper to save the tree.

Check the pollution and the noise.
So Mother Earth can sit in poise.
If you ask me, what difference can I make,
I would say it is for Nature’s sake,
That each one must contribute to the fullest.

For the earth can change with the help of the meekest.

 

Trupti, B. Indulkar
Bishop Cotton’s Girls High Schools
Bangalore


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